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Wednesday, August 11, 2010

San Francisco 49ers 2010 Preview and Prediction

Last Years Record 8-8
Wins: Arizona (x2), Seattle, St. Louis (x2), Chicago, Jacksonville, Detroit
Losses: Minnesota, Atlanta, Houston, Indianapolis, Seattle, Green Bay, Tennessee, and Philadelphia
Biggest Playmaker Patrick Willis
LB, Mississippi, Drafted #11, 4th Year
Arguably the best linebacker in the NFL, Patrick Willis has posted 141 tackles or more in each of his first three seasons, including a 174 tackle rookie debut. Willis is no doubt the fastest linebacker in the league, running an estimated 4.4 40 time, and literally plays “sideline-to-sideline”. And while he has the physique needed to be a strong linebacker in the NFL, Willis is a student of the game who understands how to make proper reads, close running lanes, and recognize play-action fakes. Patrick Willis does all these subtle, unnoticed things so smoothly and naturally, almost making it look easy. He plays with his heart and soul, and it is obvious that winning is his highest priority. Patrick Willis is the commander and leader of this 49ers defense, and although stats cannot convey this, Willis has dramatically improved over the past two seasons in his pass coverage skills and play recognition skills. Look for second year coach Mike Singletary to mold Patrick Willis into an even better linebacker in 2010; by season’s end we could be talking about the undisputed top MLB in the NFL.
Impact Player Frank Gore/Vernon Davis
RB, Miami, Drafted #65, 6th Year
TE, Maryland, Drafted #6, 5th Year
In the 2009 season, the dual threat of Gore on the ground and Davis in the air combined for a massive 26 touchdowns; in perspective that is the equivalent to 74.2% of ALL offensive touchdowns score by the 49ers last season. Vernon Davis tied for the league lead in touchdowns with 13. In 8 of 12 games played by Frank Gore, Gore posted 100 or more yards of total offense. The two wreaked havoc all last season and look to improve in 2010, as the 49ers added numerous weapons at receiver, and key components to the offensive line in Mike Iupati and Anthony Davis. Look for increased production out of both players on fewer touches, as Michael Crabtree will garner a lot of attention in 2010.
Biggest Offseason Addition Anthony Davis/Mike Iupati
OT, Rutgers, Drafted #11, Rookie
OG, Idaho, Drafted #17, Rookie
The draft of 2010 could be the best 49ers draft in the last decade. The duo of Davis an Iupati will solidify an already good offensive line. Both have been declared as outright week 1 starters, and both have impressed during training camp. Davis is a big-bodied tackle with long arms, good feet, and Iupati is a road grading guard who can control the LOS. With these two premier linemen, the 49ers look to take their offensive production to a new height. Look for improvements in pass pro and especially in the running game.
Biggest Offseason Loss Isaac Bruce
WR, Memphis State, Drafted #33, 16 Years, Retired
After a stellar 16-year career in which he won a Super Bowl, multiple All-Pro Awards and accolades, Isaac Bruce retired this past offseason. A veteran presence and a solid locker room character, Bruce brought experience to a 49er receiving corps sorely lacking in that department. Although the production tailed off considerably, as did his physical abilities, Bruce could have been a solid mentor for up and coming sophomore Michael Crabtree. Mike Martz in Chicago has hired Bruce to work with his young receiving corps this 2010 season however, putting away all ideas of Bruce’s return to San Fran. as a coach. To replace Bruce, the team signed speedster Ted Ginn Jr. in hopes that he can develop into more than just a return man.
Biggest Draft Steal Taylor Mays
FS, USC, Drafted #49, Rookie
Taylor Mays was a fabulous value pick in the second round of the 2010 NFL draft. Mays, who is a 1st Round talent slid out of the first round, and remarkably fell to the 49ers who were in need for some young talent at the safety position. Although Mays isn’t the best at play recognition from the safety position I believe that, with time and experience, his physical attributes will enable him to play at a high level in the NFL. Mays has the size, the closing speed, and the mean streak of an Ed Reed. Look for some early struggles, however towards the end of the season he will be up to speed in the NFL and making plays right and left.
Biggest Draft Mistake None
In April’s 2010 NFL Draft the 49ers were apparent winners, gathering premier talents on both sides of the ball. Both offensive lineman afore mentioned, but also Anthony Dixon from Mississippi State. Dixon, a big back, is very athletic and has great footwork and is essentially a more talented Glen Coffee. Dixon looks to take over sometime in 2010 as the team’s backup RB. On defense they added Mays and linebacker Navorro Bowman from the “Linebacker U” Penn State.
Offseason Grade A-
In the 2010 offseason the 49ers addressed numerous concerns on both sides of the ball; adding enough talent, through the draft and free agency, to make a solid post season run in 2010. What could hurt the 49ers is that all hope lies on the arm of former #1 overall pick Alex Smith, who has so far underwhelmed. The 49ers front office has done an excellent job in the past 5 years in revamping a fallen franchise.
X-Factor Alex Smith
QB, Utah, Drafted #1, 6th Year
Alex Smith has not lived up to his potential after being drafted 1st overall and has obviously struggled in his first few seasons in the NFL. In 32 games played in 3 seasons, he had a mediocre 54% completion percentage, 146 yards per game, 19 total passing TDs, and 31 interceptions. After these wretched numbers, Alex Smith was benched the entire 2008 campaign. At the helm of their offense, the 49ers were lead by J.T O’ Sullivan and later by Shaun Hill while Alex Smith watched from the bench. Shaun Hill then started the season as the quarterback, but after mightily struggling, Alex Smith got another chance to show why he is a former #1 overall pick. Smith seized the opportunity and finally showed some upside. In the 11 games played, he threw for 2,350 yards 18 TDs, 11 INTs, and competed 60% of his passes. Smith has all the weapons he needs to be a successful quarterback with Vernon Davis, Michael Crabtree, and Frank Gore. This past offseason all four of these guys have gotten to work together in an entire offseason for the first time and the chemistry will grow more as the season progresses. In the 2010 NFL draft, the 49ers helped solidify their offensive line, which will help protect Alex Smith. All of the pieces are in place for the 49ers to have a successful season, but the man who decides how good they will really be is Alex Smith.

Name You Should Know Josh Morgan
WR, Virginia Tech, Drafted #174, 3rd Year
Josh Morgan quietly put together a 52 catch season in what appeared to be a vastly improved sophomore season in 2009. Morgan is a selfless character who plays with a "team-first” mentality, running hard, clear routes and understanding that the offense will not be centered around him. Although he displays these qualities, that does not mean he is not an exceptional athlete. Morgan is a big, physical possession receiver who is a solid secondary option on the outside. Morgan is slated to start in 2010 and will look to improve his game as a third year veteran.

Rising Star Michael Crabtree
WR, Texas Tech, Drafted #10, 2nd Year
If any other receiver than Michael Crabtree went through the following events, I doubt they could possibly post 48 receptions for 625 yards, and 2 TDs in 11 games played; a broken foot that kept him out of the combine and workouts for nearly five months, a contract holdout that lasted through training camp and into the season. All that withstanding, Crabtree still put up impressive numbers in his rookie year, in what seemed to be an “ad lib” showcasing of Crabtree’s pure talent. With an entire offseason of workouts, and time to understand the playbook, I feel Crabtree will break the sophomore spell that has plagued young receivers in the past decade. Look for #15 to establish himself among the league’s elite.
Offensive Outlook A
With a revamped O-line, and added weapons on the outside, the 49ers offense looks the best it has looked in over a decade. Top five rusher Frank Gore is back and healthy, Vernon Davis established himself last season as a top five TE, and young quarterback Alex Smith seems to have found his groove. If Mike Iupati and Anthony Davis can be solid throughout the season, and receivers Michael Crabtree and Josh Morgan produce, the 49ers could stake a claim as the league’s most prolific offense; albeit Alex Smith needs to show some consistency out of the gates. Look for an increase in production across the board for this young west coast team.
Defensive Outlook B+
On defense the 49ers look just as strong if not stronger than they were in 2009. With one of the top NTs in Aubrayo Franklin and top MLB Patrick Willis, the 49ers have vastly improved their run defense; along with pass rushing linebacker Manny Lawson and DE Justin Smith, the 49ers can also bring the heat on the opposing QB. Drafting Taylor Mays increases the level of competition in the secondary, as well as solidifying the unit as possible the best tackling secondary in the NFL, with premier cornerback Nate Clement, and free safety Dashon Goldson, the teams second leading tackler in 2009. Look for another good year for the Niners.
Special Teams Outlook A-
With two of the best kickers and punters and punters in the league, Joe Nedney and Andy Lee, the only missing ingredient is an electrifying return man. This summer the Niners addressed just that by signing former Miami Dolphin and Ohio State Buckeye Ted Ginn Jr. Nedney in '09 was 17-21 on field goals up until missing two games with a injured hamstring, and Andy Lee emerged in '09 with a second ranking gross average per punt (47.6 y/punt.). In '09 versus the Jets, Ginn won the game for the Dolphins with two 100 yard plus kickoff returns for TDs. Ginn’s addition makes this special team unit an exciting one to watch in 2010.
Projected 2010 Record 11-5
Playing an easy schedule against a weak NFC West division always helps an 11 win season, but the Niners will play teams from other weak divisions around the NFL, including Tampa Bay, Kansas City, Denver (a team that has the injury bug this offseason), and Oakland. These scheduling factors along with the firepower I talked about in this article, lead me to believe that the 49ers will run away with this divisional race and Mike Singletary will be in the playoffs for the first time as a head coach.

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